Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $33,959$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $429$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9,745$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $110,594$ on 2020-10-24
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{94,792.3}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 103.3)}}\) (asimptote \(94,792.3\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,933$ on 2020-10-24
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,795.7}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 52.3)}}\) (asimptote \(5,795.7\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $104,661$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $17,749$ on 2020-10-24
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{28,725.7}{1 + 10^{-0.004 (t - 222.4)}}\) (asimptote \(28,725.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $279$ on 2020-10-24
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{256.9}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 32.2)}}\) (asimptote \(256.9\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,607$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $14,652$ on 2020-10-24
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,073.9}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 92.2)}}\) (asimptote \(11,073.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $353$ on 2020-10-24
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.8}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.7)}}\) (asimptote \(333.8\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,499$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $39,918$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $700$ on 2020-10-24
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{623.6}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 35.7)}}\) (asimptote \(623.6\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,028$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,394$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $11$ on 2020-10-24
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,081$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $305,409$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,737$ on 2020-10-24
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,846.3}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 39.3)}}\) (asimptote \(9,846.3\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $271,794$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $857,043$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $44,835$ on 2020-10-24
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,367.5}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 46.2)}}\) (asimptote \(41,367.5\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $809,532$ on 2020-10-24
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $504,509$ on 2020-10-24
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{290,699.2}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 57.5)}}\) (asimptote \(290,699.2\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $37,210$ on 2020-10-24
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35,148.4}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 47.3)}}\) (asimptote \(35,148.4\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $203,182$ on 2020-10-24